Untitled Document
CARACAS - Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has long been known for his
harsh anti-Bush rhetoric. But now he's stepping up military plans and weapons
purchases to match his combative tone, and he is worrying U.S. policymakers.
Within the past two weeks the leftist populist leader has called himself a
''socialist'' and ''Fidelista,'' and offered a muscular new course for his self-described
''revolution'' on behalf of Venezuela's poor.
''I propose that we move to the offensive, just like the imperialists have
moved to the bloody and ruthless offensive. If you don't believe me, look at
Iraq . . .'' Chávez told a news conference in Brazil late last month.
''We have to embrace socialism as a thesis,'' he continued, in what observers
said was his most direct public reference to his socialist views. He later added
that any attack on Cuba or Venezuela ``would be an attack on both.''
Chávez has called President Bush the devil and worse, and he regularly
blames Washington for a 2002 coup attempt against him. Critics brand him a would-be
dictator, but Chávez has won two democratic elections and fended off
a recall referendum just last year.
Still, his latest comments worry U.S. policymakers, mostly because they coincide
with his push to obtain new weaponry and forge a new national military doctrine
that would prepare his country for a war of resistance against a possible U.S.
invasion.
Simultaneously, Chávez has said he is placing the 50,000 soldiers of
the military reserve directly under his control and organizing his civilian
supporters into armed militias to be known as ``popular defense units.''
OIL A COMPLICATION
Although U.S. officials have dismissed the idea of a military attack on Venezuela,
they have expressed concern over Chávez' new stance since Venezuela remains
the fourth-largest supplier of oil to the United States.
Earlier this week, the State Department's assistant secretary for Western Hemisphere
affairs, Roger Noriega, challenged Chávez's efforts to create the militias
and his purchase of 40 Russian helicopters and 100,000 AK-47 assault rifles.
Noriega told a TV interviewer that the weapons could end up in ''the hands
of some criminal and irregular groups'' -- an apparent reference to leftist
guerrillas in neighboring Colombia with whom Chávez has been accused
of sympathizing.
Vice President José Vicente Rangel responded swiftly to Noriega's comments,
saying they had ''the deliberate goal of provoking Venezuela'' and that the
new guns would replace old weaponry.
The heightened U.S.Venezuela tensions coincide with new strategies for bilateral
relations in both countries.
After years of Washington's trying to avoid confrontations with Chávez,
a new U.S. ''policy review'' is expected soon to recommend trying to isolate
Venezuela from its neighbors.
''We've tried to establish common ground with the Venezuelan government,''
Noriega said in the television interview. ``But, unfortunately, President Chávez
has sabotaged our efforts.''
For his part, Chávez has been trying to extricate Venezuela from the
U.S. economic sphere of influence by forging ties with countries such as China
and Argentina and hinting that he may sell Venezuela's U.S. gasoline and refining
business, Citgo.
But it is Venezuela's attempt to procure arms and create militias that has
made the U.S. government jumpy.
''Even if these are to replace the older weapons, where are these older models
going to go?'' wondered one State Department official, speaking on condition
of anonymity. ``They're old. It doesn't mean they're useless.''
Other deals include the purchase of the 40 helicopters and the possible purchase
of 50 Russian-made MiG 29 fighter jets. Media reports from Washington say the
United States has petitioned Russia to rethink the sales.
While some officials worry that the AK-47s could end up in Colombian rebels'
hands, others believe the weapons acquisition is a reasonable part of Chávez's
shift in military doctrine.
As described by Gen. Melvin López, head of the National Defense Council
(Venezuela's equivalent to the National Security Council), the new doctrine
would focus on an ''asymmetric war'' -- a conflict between a superior and an
inferior fighting force, like those in Afghanistan and Iraq.
Under the new doctrine, the only way to fend off a superior enemy is by using
guerrilla tactics -- hence Chávez's efforts to create militia groups
and bulk up reserve units.
In recent statements, López said asymmetrical war would involve ``the
participation of the whole population; adapting ourselves to the geopolitical
[situation] of the country.''
Chávez recently said the new popular defense units would comprise 10
to 500 members each and would fall outside the normal military hierarchy and
directly under the president's command, in effect creating Chávez's own,
private revolutionary army. They are to be organized ``in the barrio, in the
factory.''
If the ''imperialists'' intervene in Venezuela, Chávez added, ``they
will face the people . . . ready to defend their sovereignty, their country
and their dignity.''
OTHERS' TECHNIQUES
Venezuela's new strategy comes from the same roots as 'the prolonged popular
war of Mao Zedong, Ho Chi Minh and Vo Nguyen Giap in Asia, and `the war of all
the people' in Cuba,' '' said one of the Chávez government's ideologues,
Mexico-based academic Heinz Dieterich.
Cuba has long projected the ''war of all the people'' not only as the strategy
it would use to wear down and eventually defeat a possible U.S. invasion but
as the kind of aggressive posture that might even deter a U.S. attack.
That is not far from the vision of Gen. Alberto Müeller, a studied military
tactician as well as a former senator and Chávez campaign aide. Müeller
is expected to be named to the special government commission that will put the
country's new military doctrine in writing.
In an interview with The Herald, Müeller said the new doctrine of ''decentralized
defense'' was to signal the United States not to attack.