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Israel plans attacking Iranian nuclear sites in March 2006
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Israel’s armed forces have been ordered by Ariel Sharon, the
prime minister, to be ready by the end of March for possible strikes on secret
uranium enrichment sites in Iran, military sources have revealed.
The order came after Israeli intelligence warned the government that Iran was
operating enrichment facilities, believed to be small and concealed in civilian
locations.
Iran’s stand-off with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) over
nuclear inspections and aggressive rhetoric from Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, the Iranian
president, who said last week that Israel should be moved to Europe, are causing
mounting concern.
The crisis is set to come to a head in early March, when Mohamed El-Baradei,
the head of the IAEA, will present his next report on Iran. El-Baradei, who
received the Nobel peace prize yesterday, warned that the world was “losing
patience” with Iran.
A senior White House source said the threat of a nuclear Iran was moving to
the top of the international agenda and the issue now was: “What next?”
That question would have to be answered in the next few months, he said.
Defence sources in Israel believe the end of March to be the “point of
no return” after which Iran will have the technical expertise to enrich
uranium in sufficient quantities to build a nuclear warhead in two to four years.
“Israel — and not only Israel — cannot accept a nuclear Iran,”
Sharon warned recently. “We have the ability to deal with this and we’re
making all the necessary preparations to be ready for such a situation.”
The order to prepare for a possible attack went through the Israeli defence
ministry to the chief of staff. Sources inside special forces command confirmed
that “G” readiness — the highest stage — for an operation
was announced last week.
Gholamreza Aghazadeah, head of the Atomic Organisation of Iran, warned yesterday
that his country would produce nuclear fuel. “There is no doubt that we
have to carry out uranium enrichment,” he said.
He promised it would not be done during forthcoming talks with European negotiators.
But although Iran insists it wants only nuclear energy, Israeli intelligence
has concluded it is deceiving the world and has no intention of giving up what
it believes is its right to develop nuclear weapons.
A “massive” Israeli intelligence operation has been underway since
Iran was designated the “top priority for 2005”, according to security
sources.
Cross-border operations and signal intelligence from a base established by
the Israelis in northern Iraq are said to have identified a number of Iranian
uranium enrichment sites unknown to the the IAEA.
Since Israel destroyed the Osirak nuclear reactor in Iraq in 1981, “it
has been understood that the lesson is, don’t have one site, have 50 sites”,
a White House source said.
If a military operation is approved, Israel will use air and ground forces
against several nuclear targets in the hope of stalling Tehran’s nuclear
programme for years, according to Israeli military sources.
It is believed Israel would call on its top special forces brigade, Unit 262
— the equivalent of the SAS — and the F-15I strategic 69 Squadron,
which can strike Iran and return to Israel without refuelling.
“If we opt for the military strike,” said a source, “it must
be not less than 100% successful. It will resemble the destruction of the Egyptian
air force in three hours in June 1967.”
Aharon Zeevi Farkash, the Israeli military intelligence chief, stepped up the
pressure on Iran this month when he warned Israel’s parliament, the Knesset,
that “if by the end of March the international community is unable to refer
the Iranian issue to the United Nations security council, then we can say the
international effort has run its course”.
The March deadline set for military readiness also stems from fears that Iran
is improving its own intelligence-gathering capability. In October it launched
its first satellite, the Sinah-1, which was carried by a Russian space launcher.
“The Iranians’ space programme is a matter of deep concern to us,”
said an Israeli defence source. “If and when we launch an attack on several
Iranian targets, the last thing we need is Iranian early warning received by
satellite.”
Russia last week signed an estimated $1 billion contract — its largest
since 2000 — to sell Iran advanced Tor-M1 systems capable of destroying
guided missiles and laser-guided bombs from aircraft.
“Once the Iranians get the Tor-M1, it will make our life much more difficult,”
said an Israeli air force source. “The installation of this system can
be relatively quick and we can’t waste time on this one.”
The date set for possible Israeli strikes on Iran also coincides with Israel’s
general election on March 28, prompting speculation that Sharon may be sabre-rattling
for votes.
Benjamin Netanyahu, the frontrunner to lead Likud into the elections, said
that if Sharon did not act against Iran, “then when I form the new Israeli
government, we’ll do what we did in the past against Saddam’s reactor,
which gave us 20 years of tranquillity”.
TEHRAN MINISTER MET MILITANTS BEFORE NEW OFFENSIVE
Iran’s foreign minister met leading figures from three Islamic militant
groups to co-ordinate a united front against Israel days before a recent escalation
of attacks against Israeli targets shattered fragile ceasefires with Lebanon
and the Palestinians, writes Hugh Macleod in Damascus.
The minister, Manouchehr Mottaki, held talks with leaders of Hamas, Islamic
Jihad and Hezbollah in Damascus on November 15.
Among those who attended the meeting were Khaled Meshaal, the Hamas leader,
and a deputy leader of Islamic Jihad, which claimed responsibility for last
Monday’s suicide bombing of a shopping mall in Netanya that killed five
Israeli citizens.
Ahmed Jibril, leader of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-
General Command, was also present. “We all confirmed that what is going
on in occupied Palestine is organically connected to what is going on in Iraq,
Syria, Iran and Lebanon,” said Jibril.
Seven days after the talks, Hezbollah fired a volley of rockets and mortars
at Israeli targets, sparking the fiercest fighting between the two sides since
Israel’s withdrawal from south Lebanon five years ago.