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Murdoch’s mag stands athwart history yelling, “Attack!”
As the Weekly Standard celebrates its 10th birthday, it may be time to ask
whether America has ever seen a more successful political magazine. Many have
been more widely read, profitable, amusing, or brilliant. But in terms of actually
changing the world and shaping the course of history, what contemporary magazine
rivals the Standard? Even if you believe that the change has been much for the
worse, the Standard’s record of success in its own terms is formidable.
At the time of the Standard’s founding in 1995, there was considerable
speculation among neoconservatives over whether the movement had run its course.
In “Neoconservatism: A Eulogy,” Norman Podhoretz argued that neoconservatism
had effectively put itself out of business by winning on its two major battle
fronts: over communism and the residue of the 1960s counterculture. In the process,
it had injected itself into the main body of American conservatism to such a
degree that it was no longer particularly distinct from it. The eulogy was not
a lamentation, more an appreciation of a job well done.
But while there was something to the Podhoretz argument, the American Right
in 1995 did not have a neoconnish feel. Newt Gingrich and the new Congress were
the center of gravity; Rush Limbaugh was a far more important figure than Bill
Kristol; the issues that most agitated the Right, gays in the military and Whitewater,
were either the province of religious and social conservatives or committed
Republican partisans.
On other national issues, neocons were either uncertain or not on the cutting
edge. Charles Murray’s 1994 bestseller The Bell Curve, which argued that
IQ was hereditarily based and was increasingly and ineluctably correlated with
career success and life outcomes, was the most discussed and controversial book
on the Right, but neocons were split over whether to distance themselves from
it or quietly embrace at least some of its analyses. Immigration, already an
issue of intense popular concern in California, was a key cause for National
Review, the oldest and most popular magazine on the Right. But most neoconservatives
deplored the immigration-reform impulse, with many claiming to see in it an
echo of the restrictionists of the 1920s, whose legislation had the (obviously
unintended) result of closing America’s door to Jewish refugees a decade
later.
Foreign policy, which had been a prime unifier of the Right during the Cold
War, was on the back burner. Norman Podhoretz’s Commentary had been waging
a lonely battle against the Oslo peace process (a track leading to a Palestinian
state in Gaza and the West Bank), but its position was very much in the minority
among both foreign-affairs experts and American Jews. In the quarterlies, foreign-policy
specialists debated America’s role in the post-Cold War world, but it
was hard for most newspaper readers to keep up with obscure struggles on the
Balkans or complicated debate about NATO expansion. America, it seemed, had
no real enemies. Thus in 1995, it could be rightly claimed that the original
neoconservative movement had spawned a successor generation, even two. But it
was not clear what that generation’s role would be, if any.
Enter the Weekly Standard—edited principally by William Kristol, a genial
and sharp son of an eminent neoconservative family—which arrived on the
scene thanks to a $3 million annual subsidy from Rupert Murdoch. It is not always
understood beyond the world of journalism that political opinion magazines almost
invariably lose money—sometimes a lot of it. The deficits are usually
made up by their owners and subscribers’ contributions, some quite substantial.
Commentary was supported for most of its life by the American Jewish Committee
and now has a publication committee of formidably wealthy people. William F.
Buckley’s National Review always had angels; Buckley once answered a query
about when his magazine would be profitable by saying, “You don’t
expect the Church to make a profit, do you?” The venerable Nation, at
the time of the Standard’s founding, had an annual deficit of roughly
$500,000, made up by owner Arthur Carter. The prestigious Atlantic Monthly reportedly
loses between $4 and $8 million a year.
That said, while the Standard’s reported subsidy was gigantic for a small
ideological niche magazine, if Rupert Murdoch’s purpose was to make things
happen in Washington and in the world, he could not have leveraged it better.
One could spend 10 times that much on political action committees without achieving
anything comparable.
It has never been obvious, however, what Murdoch’s ideological and political
ambitions were. A brilliant businessman, he was generally right-wing—though
his newspapers and networks hardly humored socially conservative sensibilities.
His papers tended to endorse conservative candidates who had a good chance of
winning. More than anything else, he seemed to relish his triumph over the British
press unions. He was not an immigration restrictionist but didn’t share
the neocon antipathy to them. In 1993, it took considerable effort by New York
Post editorial-page editor Eric Breindel to persuade Murdoch that Rudy Giuliani
was vastly superior to the incumbent David Dinkins as a candidate for mayor
of New York. In one conversation I had with him (during my own brief tenure
as Post editorial-page editor) about the paper’s foreign-policy positions,
he told me, when the discussion had veered to Israel and the Middle East, “Well,
it might not have been a good idea to create it [Israel], but now that it’s
there, it has to be supported.” A splendidly ambiguous statement—perfectly
consistent with a strong pro-Israel position, but not the sort of thing an American
neoconservative would ever say.
The subsidy Murdoch accorded the Standard assured the new venture would be
highly visible by the standards of start-up political magazines. It could afford
a wide newsstand presence: it is costly for any new magazine to print issues
that will in most cases not be sold. The Standard not only passed out thousands
of complimentary issues around Washington, it had them personally delivered
to Beltway influentials as soon as they were printed. Above all, the new journal
provided employment for a small coterie of neoconservative essayists and a ready
place to publish for dozens of apparatchiks who held posts at the American Enterprise
Institute and other neocon-friendly think tanks.
With the fledgling Fox News network, the Standard soon emerged as the key leg
in a synergistic triangle of neoconservative argumentation: you could write
a piece for the magazine, talk about your ideas on Fox, pick up a paycheck from
Kristol or from AEI. It was not a way to get rich, but it sustained a network
of careers that might otherwise have shriveled or been diverted elsewhere. Indeed,
it did more than sustain them, it gave neocons an aura of being “happening”
inside the Beltway that no other conservative (or liberal) faction could match.
Murdoch had refuted the otherwise plausible arguments in Norman Podhoretz’s
eulogy.
But what was the Standard’s type of neoconservatism? To some degree the
new magazine echoed the most popular GOP obsessions, exhibiting for example
a limitless enthusiasm for Kenneth Starr’s inquisition into Bill Clinton’s
sex life. It warned Republican lawmakers against supporting a 1996 immigration
reform that would have reduced the numbers of legal and illegal immigrants.
(Asians and Hispanics had “increasingly Republican partisan inclinations”
the magazine claimed, without evidence.) It had a moment—one issue, precisely—of
Great Fear when it seemed possible that Pat Buchanan would capture the 1996
Republican presidential nomination and devoted a three-article cover spread
to bemoaning the possibility. (One piece was a smear, one a reasoned look at
Buchanan’s protectionist economic views, and one contained the interesting
assertion that Buchanan’s views on issues were not particularly extreme—and
in fact shared by tens of millions of Americans—but his way of presenting
them was, and therein lay the problem.) It published Robert Kagan’s attack
on Samuel Huntington’s “Clash of Civilizations” under the
charming neo-McCarthyesque title “Harvard Hates America.” But except
for its foreign-policy stances, the Standard seemed a bit themeless throughout
its early life.
Nor does the recently released The Weekly Standard: A Reader 1995-2005 pinpoint
the editorial heart of the publication. The volume (as does the magazine itself)
contains several excellent pieces, exuding an urbane and sophisticated moderate
conservatism. Worthy of note is what may be the finest appreciation in print
of the Columbia literary critic and neoconservative precursor Lionel Trilling,
written by Gertrude Himmelfarb (Bill Kristol’s mother). The collection
also contains essays by Christopher Caldwell, Joseph Epstein, and Andrew Ferguson
that any editor would be proud to publish. The magazine’s hawkishness
is not exactly swept under the bed; Kristol and Robert Kagan’s “Saddam
Must Go” editorial of November 1997 is reprinted: “We know it seems
unthinkable to propose another ground attack to take Baghdad. But it’s
time to start thinking the unthinkable.” Charles Krauthammer’s “At
Last, Zion” (May 1998) is a powerful and moving explanation of why Israel
is at the center of his (and much neoconservative) consciousness. In “The
Holocaust Shrug” (April 2004), David Gelernter wheels out the tried and
tested appeasement analogy in support of the Iraq War. Saddam is no Hitler,
Gelernter acknowledges, but “the world’s indifference to Saddam
resembles its indifference to Hitler.”
But these foreign-policy essays, making up perhaps a fifth of the volume, don’t
do justice to the central role the Iraq War played in establishing the Standard’s
identity. For despite the publication’s subsidy and visibility, before
9/11 it seemed to be floundering. It was unable to push George W. Bush in a
direction it wanted. Most of the editors had supported John McCain in the Republican
primaries; no neoconservatives received cabinet-level posts in the administration.
The varied balloons Kristol and company hoisted to give a focus to their politics
(“national greatness conservatism” was one, with an emphasis on
an assertive foreign policy and constructing patriotic monuments) never gained
much altitude. In 2001, Kristol mentioned to some that he was considering closing
down the magazine. The Standard’s last cover story before 9/11 was a long
meditation by David Brooks on the TV show “Gilligan’s Island”
and what the evolution of pop culture said about globalization.
One day a novel must be written that conveys the sense of purpose and energy
that surged through the Standard’s offices—and that of the whole
Washington neoconservative network—in the days after September 11, 2001.
No more esoteric musings about Gilligan and the Skipper. The Project for a New
American Century—a Bill Kristol-founded pressure group that specialized
in gathering the signatures of the obscure and moderately famous in support
of a more militarized foreign policy—would be ignored no longer. At long
last, there would be an audience.
Inside the administration were Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, and their staffs,
heavy with signatories of the original 1998 PNAC Saddam-must-be-removed letter.
They set out to neutralize the skeptical CIA and Colin Powell’s more cautious
State Department and rush the White House into a war in Iraq. Their story has
been told in several book-length accounts and administration memoirs. Outside,
with the vital task of shaping public opinion, the Standard emerged as the nerve
center, a focal point to concentrate and diffuse the message of the Beltway
neocons. For these bookish men, it was a Churchillian moment, an occasion to
use words to rally a nation and shape history.
Their job was to divert America’s wrath away from those who perpetrated
the attack and turn it against those who did not. It was, on the face of it,
quite a stretch. The day before 9/11, the idea of a ground invasion to overthrow
Saddam Hussein’s Iraq was as “unthinkable” as it had been
when Kristol and Kagan had first broached it four years earlier. But the country
was confused—in shock and primed for vengeance. Suddenly there was a large
national audience for foreign-policy discussion on the TV networks and talk-radio
programs. The whole conservative movement was looking for guidance. If repetition
could somehow insert into the national consciousness and thereby render plausible
an idea that would otherwise have occurred to very few, the Standard would be
up to the task. Again and again the refrain would be pounded out, “Saddam
Must Go!” and would be picked up by commentators further down the ideological
food chain.
In the first issue the magazine published after 9/11, Gary Schmitt and Tom
Donnelly, two employees of Kristol’s PNAC, clarified what ought to be
the country’s war aims. Their rhetoric—which laid down a line from
which the magazine would not waver over the next 18 months—was to link
Saddam Hussein and Osama bin Laden in virtually every paragraph, to join them
at the hip in the minds of readers, and then to lay out a strategy that actually
gave attacking Saddam priority over eliminating al-Qaeda. The first piece was
illustrated with a caricature of Saddam, not bin Laden, and the proposed operational
plan against bin Laden was astonishingly soft. “While it is probably not
necessary to go to war with Afghanistan, a broad approach will be required,
” they wrote. Taliban failure to help root out bin Laden ought to be “rewarded
by aid to its Afghan opposition.” Presumably Ramsey Clark was tendering
advice more dovish than this, but it could not have been by much.
Against Saddam, by contrast, no such caution was contemplated. “To be
sure,” the PNAC duo intoned, “Usama bin Laden and his organization
should be a prime target in this campaign. ... But the larger campaign must
also go after Saddam Hussein. He might well be implicated in this week’s
attacks … or he might not. But as with bin Laden, we have long known that
Saddam is our enemy, and that he would strike us as hard as he could. ...The
only reasonable course when faced with such foes is to preempt and to strike
first.” “Eliminating Saddam,” they concluded, “is the
key to restoring our regional dominance.”
If by week two the Standard had laid out a grand strategy (focus on the Saddam
end of the fanciful “Saddam-bin Laden axis”), by week three it had
found an iconic cover photo to reinforce the message. Max Boot’s “The
Case for an American Empire” was illustrated with two Navy enlisted men
in bright white uniforms, one black, one white, raising (or perhaps lowering)
the stars and stripes, the sea stretching before them. This imperialism, the
photo said, would be based on racial harmony. It evoked the “France of
100 million” posters that recruited soldiers from the empire to fight
the Huns in World War I. “Afghanistan and other troubled lands today cry
out for the sort of enlightened foreign administration once provided by self-confident
Englishmen,” Boot wrote.
Once Afghanistan has been dealt with, America should “turn its attention
to Iraq.” “Who cares if Saddam was involved” in the 9/11 attacks?
Boot did not. Saddam “has already earned himself a death sentence a thousand
times over. ... He is currently working to acquire weapons of mass destruction
that he or his confederates will unleash against America. ... Once we have deposed
Saddam, we can impose an American-led, international regency in Baghdad, to
go along with the one in Kabul. With American seriousness and credibility thus
restored, we will enjoy fruitful cooperation from the region’s many opportunists
…”
Standard writers would repeat these arguments for the next 17 months. “If
two or three years from now Saddam is still in power, the war on terrorism will
have failed,” wrote Gary Schmitt some weeks later. Several weeks after
that, it was Reuel Marc Gerecht’s turn: “Unless Saddam Hussein is
removed, the war on terror will fail.” The line derived from the letter
of menace Kristol and PNAC had addressed to George W. Bush on September 20,
2001. Failure to attack Iraq, they told the president, would “constitute
an early and perhaps decisive surrender” in the War on Terror.
A magazine communicates through its covers as well. Most telling was one of
George W. Bush, gesticulating before an audience of troops, arm extended in
a Caesarian pose. “The Liberator,” the Standard headline proclaimed.
Flatter the leader who will do your bidding. It was February 2003, and the editors
knew by then that war was almost certain.
Bush and his team have since fallen out of favor in Standard land. The magazine
has begun blaming the bungled prosecution of the war on Secretary of Defense
Rumsfeld and has called for his resignation. As Bush sinks in the polls, the
journal will surely look to other politicians to carry out its aspirations.
If David Brooks, now a New York Times columnist, is an indicator, that figure
is likely to be a centrist or a “progressive” in the Joe Lieberman
mode—conservatism as a vehicle for neoconservative foreign-policy goals
having been pretty much run into the ground.
During the second week of the Iraq invasion, the Israeli newspaper Ha’aretz
interviewed several intellectual supporters of the war. The New York Times’
Thomas Friedman (who backed the war despite being haunted by its similarities
to Israel’s 1982 invasion of Lebanon, which he saw firsthand) suggested
that this was very much an intellectuals’ war. “It’s the war
the neoconservatives marketed. Those people had an idea to sell when September
11 came, and they sold it. Oh boy, did they sell it. So this is not a war that
the masses demanded. This is a war of an elite. … I could give you the
names of 25 people (all of whom are at this moment within a five block radius
of this office) who, if you had exiled them to a desert island a year and a
half ago, the Iraq war would not have happened.” Then Friedman paused,
clarifying, “It’s not some fantasy the neoconservatives invented.
It’s not that 25 people hijacked America. You don’t take such a
great nation into such a great adventure with Bill Kristol and the Weekly Standard
and another five or six influential columnists. In the final analysis what fomented
the war is America’s over-reaction to September 11. ... It is not only
the neoconservatives that led us to the outskirts of Baghdad. What led us to
the outskirts of Baghdad is a very American combination of anxiety and hubris.”
That kind of ambiguous conclusion about the Standard’s and the neocons’
role in starting the war is what the undisputed and public evidence will sustain.
The Standard was important. It amplified the views of “the 25” the
way luncheon seminars at the American Enterprise Institute and other neocon
think tanks never could have.
Its role can be likened to the Yellow Press, the Hearst papers and Pulitzer’s
New York World, which did everything they could to instigate a war against Spain
over Cuba in the 1890s and boosted their circulation mightily in the process.
In the wake of 9/11, the Standard didn’t have to create the martial atmosphere
artificially, just divert it from Osama to Saddam.
Without the Weekly Standard, would the invasion of Iraq taken place? It’s
impossible to know. Without the Standard, other voices—including those
of the realist foreign-policy establishment, which had been dominant in the
first Bush administration and which opposed a precipitous campaign against Saddam—would
have been on a more level playing field with the neocons. That would have made
a difference.
So in a sense the Iraq War is Bill Kristol’s War as much as it
is George W. Bush’s and Dick Cheney’s, and the Standard is the vehicle
that made it possible. It should go down in history as Rupert Murdoch’s
War as well, and thus becomes by far the most significant historical event ever
to be shaped by the Murdoch media.
How ironic it would be if it were not, in the end, a war Rupert Murdoch particularly
wanted