Untitled Document
The Plan is for the United States to rule the world. The overt theme
is unilateralism, but it is ultimately a story of domination. It calls for the
United States to maintain its overwhelming military superiority and prevent
new rivals from rising up to challenge it on the world stage. It calls for dominion
over friends and enemies alike. It says not that the United States must be more
powerful, or most powerful, but that it must be absolutely powerful.
Few writers are more ambitious than the writers of government policy papers,
and few policy papers are more ambitious than Dick Cheney’s masterwork.
It has taken several forms over the last decade and is in fact the product of
several ghostwriters (notably Paul Wolfowitz and Colin Powell), but Cheney has
been consistent in his dedication to the ideas in the documents that bear his
name, and he has maintained a close association with the ideologues behind them.
Let us, therefore, call Cheney the author, and this series of documents the
Plan.
The Plan was published in unclassified form most recently under the title of
Defense Strategy for the 1990s, (pdf) as Cheney ended his term as secretary
of defense under the elder George Bush in early 1993, but it is, like “Leaves
of Grass,” a perpetually evolving work. It was the controversial Defense
Planning Guidance draft of 1992 – from which Cheney, unconvincingly, tried
to distance himself – and it was the somewhat less aggressive revised
draft of that same year. This June it was a presidential lecture in the form
of a commencement address at West Point, and in July it was leaked to the press
as yet another Defense Planning Guidance (this time under the pen name of Defense
Secretary Donald Rumsfeld). It will take its ultimate form, though, as America’s
new national security strategy – and Cheney et al. will experience what
few writers have even dared dream: their words will become our reality.
The Plan is for the United States to rule the world. The overt theme is unilateralism,
but it is ultimately a story of domination. It calls for the United States to
maintain its overwhelming military superiority and prevent new rivals from rising
up to challenge it on the world stage. It calls for dominion over friends and
enemies alike. It says not that the United States must be more powerful, or
most powerful, but that it must be absolutely powerful.
The Plan is disturbing in many ways, and ultimately unworkable. Yet it is being
sold now as an answer to the “new realities” of the post-September
11 world, even as it was sold previously as the answer to the new realities
of the post-Cold War world. For Cheney, the Plan has always been the right answer,
no matter how different the questions.
Cheney’s unwavering adherence to the Plan would be amusing, and maybe
a little sad, except that it is now our plan. In its pages are the ideas that
we now act upon every day with the full might of the United States military.
Strangely, few critics have noted that Cheney’s work has a long history,
or that it was once quite unpopular, or that it was created in reaction to circumstances
that are far removed from the ones we now face. But Cheney is a well-known action
man. One has to admire, in a way, the Babe Ruth-like sureness of his political
work. He pointed to center field ten years ago, and now the ball is sailing
over the fence.
Before the Plan was about domination it was about money. It took shape in late
1989, when the Soviet threat was clearly on the decline, and, with it, public
support for a large military establishment. Cheney seemed unable to come to
terms with either new reality. He remained deeply suspicious of the Soviets
and strongly resisted all efforts to reduce military spending. Democrats in
Congress jeered his lack of strategic vision, and a few within the Bush Administration
were whispering that Cheney had become an irrelevant factor in structuring a
response to the revolutionary changes taking place in the world.
More adaptable was the up-and-coming General Colin Powell, the newly appointed
chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. As Ronald Reagan’s national security
adviser, Powell had seen the changes taking place in the Soviet Union firsthand
and was convinced that the ongoing transformation was irreversible. Like Cheney,
he wanted to avoid military cuts, but he knew they were inevitable. The best
he could do was minimize them, and the best way to do that would be to offer
a new security structure that would preserve American military capabilities
despite reduced resources.
Powell and his staff believed that a weakened Soviet Union would result in
shifting alliances and regional conflict. The United States was the only nation
capable of managing the forces at play in the world; it would have to remain
the preeminent military power in order to ensure the peace and shape the emerging
order in accordance with American interests. U.S. military strategy, therefore,
would have to shift from global containment to managing less-well-defined regional
struggles and unforeseen contingencies. To do this, the United States would
have to project a military “forward presence” around the world;
there would be fewer troops but in more places. This plan still would not be
cheap, but through careful restructuring and superior technology, the job could
be done with 25 percent fewer troops. Powell insisted that maintaining superpower
status must be the first priority of the U.S. military. “We have to put
a shingle outside our door saying, ‘Superpower Lives Here,’ no matter
what the Soviets do,” he said at the time. He also insisted that the troop
levels be proposed were the bare minimum necessary to do so. This concept would
come to be known as the “Base Force.”
Powell’s work on the subject proved timely. The Berlin Wall fell on November
9, 1989, and five days later Powell had his new strategy ready to present to
Cheney. Even as decades of repression were ending in Eastern Europe, however,
Cheney still could not abide even the force and budget reductions Powell proposed.
Yet he knew that cuts were unavoidable. Having no alternative of his own to
offer, therefore, he reluctantly encouraged Powell to present his ideas to the
president. Powell did so the next day; Bush made no promises but encouraged
him to keep at it.
Less encouraging was the reaction of Paul Wolfowitz, the undersecretary of
defense for policy. A lifelong proponent of the unilateralist, maximum-force
approach, he shared Cheney’s skepticism about the Eastern Bloc and so
put his own staff to work on a competing plan that would somehow accommodate
the possibility of Soviet backsliding.
As Powell and Wolfowitz worked out their strategies, Congress was losing patience.
New calls went up for large cuts in defense spending in light of the new global
environment. The harshest critique of Pentagon planning came from a usually
dependable ally of the military establishment, Georgia Democrat Sam Nunn, chairman
of the Senate Armed Services committee. Nunn told fellow senators in March 1990
that there was a “threat blank” in the administration’s proposed
$295 billion defense budget and that the Pentagon’s “basic assessment
of the overall threat to our national security” was “rooted in the
past.” The world had changed and yet the “development of a new military
strategy that responds to the changes in the threat has not yet occurred.”
Without that response, no dollars would be forthcoming.
Nunn’s message was clear. Powell and Wolfowitz began filling in the blanks.
Powell started promoting a Zen-like new rationale for his Base Force approach.
With the Soviets rapidly becoming irrelevant, Powell argued, the United States
could no longer assess its military needs on the basis of known threats. Instead,
the Pentagon should focus on maintaining the ability to address a wide variety
of new and unknown challenges. This shift from a “threat based”
assessment of military requirements to a “capability based” assessment
would become a key theme of the Plan. The United States would move from countering
Soviet attempts at dominance to ensuring its own dominance. Again, this project
would not be cheap.
Powell’s argument, circular though it may have been, proved sufficient
to hold off Congress. Winning support among his own colleagues, however, proved
more difficult. Cheney remained deeply skeptical about the Soviets, and Wolfowitz
was only slowly coming around. To account for future uncertainties, Wolfowitz
recommended drawing down U.S. forces to roughly the levels proposed by Powell,
but doing so at a much slower pace; seven years as opposed to the four Powell
suggested. He also built in a “crisis response/reconstitution” clause
that would allow for reversing the process if events in the Soviet Union, or
elsewhere, turned ugly.
With these now elements in place, Cheney saw something that might work. By
combining Powell’s concepts with those of Wolfowitz, he could counter
congressional criticism that his proposed defense budget was out of line with
the new strategic reality, while leaving the door open for future force increases.
In late June, Wolfowitz, Powell, and Cheney presented their plan to the president,
and within as few weeks Bush was unveiling the new strategy.
Bush laid out the rationale for the Plan in a speech in Aspen, Colorado, on
August 2, 1990. He explained that since the danger of global war had substantially
receded, the principal threats to American security would emerge in unexpected
quarters. To counter those threats, he said, the United States would increasingly
base the size and structure of its forces on the need to respond to “regional
contingencies” and maintain a peacetime military presence overseas. Meeting
that need would require maintaining the capability to quickly deliver American
forces to any “corner of the globe,” and that would mean retaining
many major weapons systems then under attack in Congress as overly costly and
unnecessary, including the “Star Wars” missile-defense program.
Despite those massive outlays, Bush insisted that the proposed restructuring
would allow the United States to draw down its active forces by 25 percent in
the years ahead, the same figure Powell had projected ten months earlier.
The Plan’s debut was well timed. By a remarkable coincidence, Bush revealed
it the very day Saddam Hussein’s Iraqi forces invaded Kuwait.
The Gulf War temporarily reduced the pressure to cut military spending. It
also diverted attention from some of the Plan’s less appealing aspects.
In addition, it inspired what would become one of the Plan’s key features:
the use of “overwhelming force” to quickly defeat enemies, a concept
since dubbed the Powell Doctrine.
Once the Iraqi threat was “contained,” Wolfowitz returned to his
obsession with the Soviets, planning various scenarios involved possible Soviet
intervention in regional conflicts. The failure of the hard-liner coup against
Gorbachev in August 1991, however, made it apparent that such planning might
be unnecessary. Then, in late December, just as the Pentagon was preparing to
put the Plan in place, the Soviet Union collapsed.
With the Soviet Union gone, the United States had a choice. It could capitalize
on the euphoria of the moment by nurturing cooperative relations and developing
multilateral structures to help guide the global realignment then taking place;
or it could consolidate its power and pursue a strategy of unilateralism and
global dominance. It chose the latter course.
In early 1992, as Powell and Cheney campaigned to win congressional support
for their augmented Base Force plan, a new logic entered into their appeals.
The United States, Powell told members of the House Armed Services Committee,
required “sufficient power” to “deter any challenger from
ever dreaming of challenging us on the world stage.” To emphasize the
point, he cast the United States in the role of street thug. “I want to
be the bully on the block,” he said, implanting in the mind of potential
opponents that “there is no future in trying to challenge the armed forces
of the United States.”
As Powell and Cheney were making this new argument in their congressional rounds,
Wolfowitz was busy expanding the concept and working to have it incorporated
into U.S. policy. During the early months of 1992, Wolfowitz supervised the
preparation of an internal Pentagon policy statement used to guide military
officials in the preparation of their forces, budgets, and strategies. The classified
document, known as the Defense Planning Guidance, depicted a world dominated
by the United States, which would maintain its superpower status through a combination
of positive guidance and overwhelming military might. the image was one of a
heavily armed City on a Hill.
The DPG stated that the “first objective” of U.S. defense strategy
was “to prevent the re-emergence of a new rival.” Achieving this
objective required that the United States “prevent any hostile power from
dominating a region” of strategic significance. America’s new mission
would be to convince allies and enemies alike “that they need not aspire
to a greater role or pursue a more aggressive posture to protect their legitimate
interests.”
Another new theme was the use of preemptive military force. The options, the
DPG noted, ranged from taking preemptive military action to head off a nuclear,
chemical, or biological attack to “punishing” or “threatening
punishment of” aggressors “through a variety of means,” including
strikes against weapons-manufacturing facilities.
The DPG also envisioned maintaining a substantial U.S. nuclear arsenal while
discouraging the development of nuclear programs in other countries. It depicted
a “U.S.-led system of collective security” that implicitly precluded
the need for rearmament of any king by countries such as Germany and Japan.
And it called for the “early introduction” of a global missile-defense
system that would presumably render all missile-launched weapons, including
those of the United States, obsolete. (The United States would, of course, remain
the world’s dominant military power on the strength of its other weapons
systems.)
The story, in short, was dominance by way of unilateral action and military
superiority. While coalitions – such as the one formed during the Gulf
War – held “considerable promise for promoting collective action,”
the draft DPG stated, the United States should expect future alliances to be
“ad hoc assemblies, often not lasting beyond the crisis being confronted,
and in many cases carrying only general agreement over the objectives to be
accomplished.” It was essential to create “the sense that the world
order is ultimately backed by the U.S.” and essential that America position
itself “to act independently when collective action cannot be orchestrated”
or in crisis situation requiring immediate action. “While the U.S. cannot
become the world’s policeman,” the document said, “we will
retain the preeminent responsibility for addressing selectively those wrongs
which threaten not only our interests, but those of our allies or friends.”
Among the interests the draft indicated the United States would defend in this
manner were “access to vital raw materials, primarily Persian Gulf oil,
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles, [and] threats
to U.S. citizens from terrorism.”
The DPC was leaked to the New York Times in March 1992. Critics on both the
left and the right attacked it immediately. Then-presidential candidate Pat
Buchanan portrayed candidate a “blank check” to America’s
allies by suggesting the United States would “go to war to defend their
interests.” Bill Clinton’s deputy campaign manager, George Stephanopoulos,
characterized it as an attempt by Pentagon officials to “find an excuse
for big defense budgets instead of downsizing.” Delaware Senator Joseph
Biden criticized the Plan’s vision of a “Pax Americana, a global
security system where threats to stability are suppressed or destroyed by U.S.
military power.” Even those who found the document’s stated goals
commendable feared that its chauvinistic tone could alienate many allies. Cheney
responded by attempting to distance himself from the Plan. The Pentagon’s
spokesman dismissed the leaked document as a “low-level draft” and
claimed that Cheney had not seen it. Yet a fifteen-page section opened by proclaiming
that it constituted “definitive guidance from the Secretary of Defense.”
Powell took a more forthright approach to dealing with the flap: he publicly
embraced the DPG’s core concept. In a TV interview, he said he believed
it was “just fine” that the United States reign as the world’s
dominant military power. “I don’t think we should apologize for
that,” he said. Despite bad reviews in the foreign press, Powell insisted
that America’s European allies were “not afraid” of U.S. military
might because it was “power that could be trusted” and “will
not be misused.”
Mindful that the draft DPG’s overt expression of U.S. dominance might
not fly, Powell in the same interview also trotted out a new rationale for the
original Base Force plan. He argued that in a post-Soviet world, filled with
new dangers, the United States needed the ability to fight on more than one
front at a time. “One of the most destabilizing things we could do,”
he said, “is to cut our forces so much that if we’re tied up in
one area of the world ..... and we are not seen to have the ability to influence
another area of the world, we might invite just the sort of crisis we’re
trying to deter.” This two-war strategy provided a possible answer to
Nunn’s “threat blank.” One unknown enemy wasn’t enough
to justify lavish defense budgets, but two unknown enemies might do the trick.
Within a few weeks the Pentagon had come up with a more comprehensive response
to the DPG furor. A revised version was leaked to the press that was significantly
less strident in tone, though only slightly less strident in fact. While calling
for the United States to prevent “any hostile power from dominating a
region critical to our interests,” the new draft stressed that America
would act in concert with its allies – when possible. It also suggested
the United Nations might take an expanded role in future political, economic,
and security matters, a concept conspicuously absent from the original draft.
The controversy died down, and, with a presidential campaign under way, the
Pentagon did nothing to stir it up again. Following Bush’s defeat, however,
the Plan reemerged. In January 1993, in his very last days in office. Cheney
released a final version. The newly titled Defense Strategy for the 1990s retained
the soft touch of the revised draft DPG as well as its darker themes. The goal
remained to preclude “hostile competitors from challenging our critical
interests” and preventing the rise of a new super-power. Although it expressed
a “preference” for collective responses in meeting such challenges,
it made clear that the United States would play the lead role in any alliance.
Moreover, it noted that collective action would “not always be timely.”
Therefore, the United States needed to retain the ability to “act independently,
if necessary.” To do so would require that the United States maintain
its massive military superiority. Others were not encouraged to follow suit.
It was kinder, gentler dominance, but it was dominance all the same. And it
was this thesis that Cheney and company nailed to the door on their way out.
The new administration tacitly rejected the heavy-handed, unilateral approach
to U.S. primacy favored by Powell, Cheney, and Wolfowitz. Taking office in the
relative calm of the early post – Cold War era, Clinton sought to maximize
America’s existing position of strength and promote its interests through
economic diplomacy, multilateral institutions (dominated by the United States),
greater international free trade, and the development of allied coalitions,
including American-led collective military action. American policy, in short,
shifted from global dominance to globalism.
Clinton also failed to prosecute military campaigns with sufficient vigor to
satisfy the defense strategists of the previous administration. Wolfowitz found
Clinton’s Iraq policy especially infuriating. During the Gulf War, Wolfowitz
harshly criticized the decision – endorsed by Powell and Cheney –
to end the war once the U.N. mandate of driving Saddam’s forces from Kuwait
had been fulfilled, leaving the Iraqi dictator in office. He called on the Clinton
Administration to finish the job by arming Iraqi opposition forces and sending
U.S. ground troops to defense a base of operation for them in the southern region
of the country. In a 1996 editorial, Wolfowitz raised the prospect of launching
a preemptive attack against Iraq. “Should we sit idly by,” he wrote,
“with our passive containment policy and our inept cover operations, and
wait until a tyrant possessing large quantities of weapons of mass destruction
and sophisticated delivery systems strikes out at us?” Wolfowitz suggested
it was “necessary” to “go beyond the containment strategy.”
Wolfowitz’s objections to Clinton’s military tactics were not limited
to Iraq. Wolfowitz had endorsed President Bush’s decision in late 1992
to intervene in Somalia on a limited humanitarian basis. Clinton later expanded
the mission into a broader peacekeeping effort, a move that ended in disaster.
With perfect twenty-twenty hindsight, Wolfowitz decried Clinton’s decision
to send U.S. troops into combat “where there is no significant U.S. national
interest.” He took a similar stance on Clinton’s ill-fated democracy-building
effort in Haiti, chastising the president for engaging “American military
prestige” on an issue” of the little or no importance” to
U.S. interests. Bosnia presented a more complicated mix of posturing and ideologics.
While running for president, Clinton had scolded the Bush Administration for
failing to take action to stem the flow of blood in the Balkans. Once in office,
however, and chastened by their early misadventures in Somalia and Haiti, Clinton
and his advisers struggled to articulate a coherent Bosnia policy. Wolfowitz
complained in 1994 of the administration’s failure to “develop an
effective course of action.' He personally advocated arming the Bosnian Muslims
in their fight against the Serbs. Powell, on the other hand, publicly cautioned
against intervention. In 1995 a U.S.-led NATO bombing campaign, combined with
a Croat-Muslim ground offensive, forced the Serbs into negotiations, leading
to the Dayton Peace Accords. In 1999, as Clinton rounded up support for joint
U.S.-NATO action in Kosovo, Wolfowitz hectored the president for failing to
act quickly enough.
After eight years of what Cheney et al. regarded as wrong-headed military adventures
and pinprick retaliatory strikes, the Clinton Administration – mercifully,
in their view – came to an end. With the ascension of George W. Bush to
the presidency, the authors of the Plan returned to government, ready to pick
up where they had left off. Cheney of course, became vice president, Powell
became secretary of state, and Wolfowitz moved into the number two slot at the
Pentagon, as Donald Rumsfeld’s deputy. Other contributors also returned:
Two prominent members of the Wolfowitz team that crafted the original DPG took
up posts on Cheney’s staff. I. Lewis “Scooter” Libby, who
served as Wolfowitz’s deputy during Bush I, became the vice president’s
chief of staff and national security adviser. And Eric Edelman, an assistant
deputy undersecretary of defense in the first Bush Administration, became a
top foreign policy adviser to Cheney.
Cheney and company had not changed their minds during the Clinton interlude
about the correct course for U.S. policy, but they did not initially appear
bent on resurrecting the Plan. Rather than present a unified vision of foreign
policy to the world, in the early going the administration focused on promoting
a series of seemingly unrelated initiatives. Notable among these were missile
defense and space-based weaponry, long-standing conservative causes. In addition,
a distinct tone of unilateralism emerged as the new administration announced
its intent to abandon the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty with Russia in order
to pursue missile defense; its opposition to U.S. ratification of an international
nuclear-test-ban pact; and its refusal to become a party to an International
Criminal Court. It also raised the prospect of ending the self-imposed U.S.
moratorium on nuclear testing initiated by the President’s father during
the 1992 presidential campaign. Moreover, the administration adopted a much
tougher diplomatic posture, as evidenced, most notably, by a distinct hardening
of relations with both China and North Korea. While none of this was inconsistent
with the concept of U.S. dominance, these early actions did not, at the time,
seem to add up to a coherent strategy.
It was only after September 11 that the Plan emerged in full. Within days of
the attacks, Wolfowitz and Libby began calling for unilateral military action
against Iraq, on the shaky premise that Osama bin Laden’s Al Qaeda network
could not have pulled off the assaults without Saddam Hussein’s assistance.
At the time, Bush rejected such appeals, but Wolfowitz kept pushing and the
President soon came around. In his State of the Union address in January, Bush
labeled Iraq, Iran, and North Korea an “axis of evil,” and warned
that he would “not wait on events” to prevent them from using weapons
of mass destruction against the United States. He reiterated his commitment
to preemption in his West Point speech in June. “If we wait for threats
to fully materialize we will have waited too long,” he said. “We
must take the battle to the enemy, disrupt his plans and confront the worst
threats before they emerge.” Although it was less noted, Bush in that
same speech also reintroduced the Plan’s central theme. He declared that
the United States would prevent the emergence of a rival power by maintaining
“military strengths beyond the challenge.” With that, the President
effectively adopted a strategy his father’s administration had developed
ten years earlier to ensure that the United States would remain the world’s
preeminent power. While the headlines screamed “preemption,” no
one noticed the declaration of the dominance strategy.
In case there was any doubt about the administration’s intentions, the
Pentagon’s new DPG lays them out. Signed by Wolfowitz’s new boss,
Donald Rumsfeld, in May and leaked to the Los Angeles Times in July, it contains
all the key elements of the original Plan and adds several complementary features.
The preemptive strikes envisioned in the original draft DPG are now “unwarned
attacks.” The old Powell-Cheney notion of military “forward presence”
is now “forwarded deterrence.” The use of overwhelming force to
defeat an enemy called for in the Powell Doctrine is now labeled an “effects
based” approach.
Some of the names have stayed the same. Missile defense is back, stronger than
ever, and the call goes up again for a shift from a “threat based”
structure to a “capabilities based” approach. The new DPG also emphasizes
the need to replace the so-called Cold War strategy of preparing to fight two
major conflicts simultaneously with what the Los Angeles Times refers to as
“a more complex approach aimed at dominating air and space on several
fronts.” This, despite the fact that Powell had originally conceived –
and the first Bush Administration had adopted – the two-war strategy as
a means of filling the “threat blank” left by the end of the Cold
War.
Rumsfeld’s version adds a few new ideas, most impressively the concept
of preemptive strikes with nuclear weapons. These would be earth-penetrating
nuclear weapons used for attacking “hardened and deeply buried targets,”
such as command-and-control bunkers, missile silos, and heavily fortified underground
facilities used to build and store weapons of mass destruction. The concept
emerged earlier this year when the administration’s Nuclear Posture Review
leaked out. At the time, arms-control experts warned that adopting the NPR’s
recommendations would undercut existing arms-control treaties, do serious harm
to nonproliferation efforts, set off new rounds of testing, and dramatically
increase the prospectus of nuclear weapons being used in combat. Despite these
concerns, the administration appears intent on developing the weapons. In a
final flourish, the DPG also directs the military to develop cyber-, laser-,
and electronic-warfare capabilities to ensure U.S. dominion over the heavens.
Rumsfeld spelled out these strategies in Foreign affairs earlier this year,
and it is there that he articulated the remaining elements of the Plan; unilateralism
and global dominance. Like the revised DPG of 1992, Rumsfeld feigns interest
in collective action but ultimately rejects it as impractical. “Wars can
benefit from coalitions,” he writes, “but they should not be fought
by committee.” And coalitions, he adds, “must not determine the
mission.” The implication is the United States will determine the missions
and lead the fights. Finally, Rumsfeld expresses the key concept of the Plan:
preventing the emergence of rival powers. Like the original draft DPG of 1992,
he states that America’s goal is to develop and maintain the military
strength necessary to “dissuade” rivals or adversaries from “competing.”
with no challengers, and a proposed defense budget of $379 billion for next
year, the United States would reign over all its surveys.
Reaction to the latest edition of the Plan has, thus far, focused on preemption.
Commentators parrot the administration’s line, portraying the concept
of preemptory strikes as a “new” strategy aimed at combating terrorism.
In an op-ed piece for the Washington Post following Bush’s West Point
address, former Clinton adviser William Galston described preemption as part
of a “brand-new security doctrine,” and warned of possible negative
diplomatic consequences. Others found the concept more appealing. Loren Thompson
of the conservative Lexington Institute hailed the “Bush Doctrine”
as “a necessary response to the new dangers that America faces”
and declared it “the biggest shift in strategic thinking in two generations.”
Wall Street Journal editor Robert Bartley echoed that sentiment, writing that
“no talk of this ilk has been heard from American leaders since John Foster
Dulles talked of rolling back the Iron Curtain.”
Preemption, of course, is just part of the Plan, and the Plan is hardly new.
It is a warmed-over version of the strategy Cheney and his coauthors rolled
out in 1992 as the answer to the end of the Cold War. Then the goal was global
dominance, and it met with bad reviews. Now it is the answer to terrorism. The
emphasis is on preemption, and the reviews are generally enthusiastic. Through
all of this, the dominance motif remains, though largely undetected.
This country once rejected “unwarned” attacks such as Pearl Harbor
as barbarous and unworthy of a civilized nation. Today many cheer the prospect
of conducting sneak attacks – potentially with nuclear weapons –
on piddling powers run by tin-pot despots.
We also once denounced those who tried to rule the world. Our primary objection
(at least officially) to the Soviet Union as its quest for global domination.
Through the successful employment of the tools of containment, deterrence, collective
security, and diplomacy – the very methods we now reject – we rid
ourselves and the world of the Evil Empire. Having done so, we now pursue the
very thing for which we opposed it. And now that the Soviet Union is gone, there
appears to be no one left to stop us.
Perhaps, however, there is. The Bush Administration and its loyal opposition
seem not to grasp that the quests for dominance generate backlash. Those threatened
with preemption may themselves launch preemptory strikes. And even those who
are successfully “preempted” or dominated may object and find means
to strike back. Pursuing such strategies may, paradoxically, result in greater
factionalism and rivalry, precisely the things we seek to end.
Not all Americans share Colin Powell’s desire to be “the bully
on the block.” In fact, some believe that by following a different path
the United States has an opportunity to establish a more lasting security environment.
As Dartmouth professors Stephen Brooks and William Woblforth wrote recently
in Foreign Affairs, “Unipolarity makes it possible to be the global bully
– but it also offers the United States the luxury of being able to look
beyond its immediate needs to its own, and the world’s, long-term interests.
..... Magnanimity and restraint in the face of temptation are tenets of successful
statecraft that have proved their worth.” Perhaps, in short, we can achieve
our desired ends by means other than global domination.