Untitled Document
US officials, energy industry analysts, and the corporate media continue
to issue conflicting and contradictory reports on the damage wrought by Hurricanes
Rita and Katrina.
An Associated Press story from Wednesday, September 28, "Hurricane
Rita's Wrath Hurting Rigs," offers the following:
"Oil and gas executives say Hurricane Rita may have caused more damage
to rigs and platforms than any Gulf of Mexico storm, even its formidable predecessor
Hurricane Katrina.
"The double whammy of those hurricanes has already cost the gulf almost
7 percent of its annual oil production and 5 percent of its yearly natural
gas output, a report Wednesday from the U.S. Minerals Management Service showed.
" The impact on the rigs is something that's never been seen by this
country before,' said Daniel Naatz, director of federal resources for the
Independent Petroleum Association of America.
"ODS-Petrodata, which provides data and information to the industry,
reported 13 rigs seriously damaged or destroyed by Rita. Platform damage is
still being assessed, analyst Tom Marsh said. 'You may think that 13 is not
a significant amount, but this is 10 percent of the contracted fleet out of
service for various lengths of time—-or in some cases permanently,'
Marsh said.
"Meanwhile, nine of 12 pipelines that move gas and oil onshore remain
shut down or operate at less than 100 percent capacity, according to the latest
report by the Association of Oil Pipelines.
"'I hate to say with absolute certainty that this is the worst storm
damage we've seen, but we have had more rigs reported with severe damage than
any other storm I can recall in the last 15 years,' said Marsh of ODS-Petrodata."
This account of unprecedented severe and extensive rig damage is in
direct contrast to the majority of media stories that trumpeted "dodged
bullets," "sighs of relief," "Rita damage better than thought,"
"catastrophe avoided," etc. from the moment of Rita's landfall to
the present.
For example, here is an item from a September 25 Reuters account, US
oil sees less damage than feared from Rita: "We dodged a bullet with
this storm," said Chuck Dunlap of Pasadena Refining, which was restarting
its Houston refinery on Sunday. "It could've been a lot worse." In
the same piece, another industry official is quoted declaring that Hurricane
Rita's impact on the oil industry was "much less severe than what Hurricane
Katrina brought."
Here is an Associated Press story from September 24, and note the title:
Refineries
see some damage, dodge bullet
In fact, while the full assessment of the damage to oil infrastructure from
both hurricanes is pending, many are doing their utmost to keep unpleasant information
off the front pages. The spin and cover-up of the larger Peak Oil reality
continues. The grudging acknowledgment and disclosure of some
of this reality in recent months (which has included massive public relations
campaign on the part of Chevron and others to gradually condition the public's
reaction to Peak) does not make up for the denial, which has, and continues
to, cost the world dearly in terms of wasted resources, wasted and lost lives
(war), lost time, and lost opportunities for real solutions and worldwide preparation.
What is the ugly truth? As Mike
Ruppert wrote in a recent news analysis:
As one astute observer noted, "A couple of months ago if there was
one small refinery fire, crude oil futures went up $2 a barrel. We have
two major hurricanes taking all refineries offline and oil prices fall.
What's up with that?"
Market manipulation is up. That's what's up. And I suspect the
move is now on around the world to suck as much last minute "sucker"
cash into play as possible before pulling the plug this winter.
My guess is that we will not have a clear picture of actual damage to oil
and gas infrastructure for at least ten days to two weeks. And even then
what we get might not be honestly reported. Rita was either a Cat 4 or a
Cat 5 when it went through the offshore facilities in the gulf. We're all
still waiting to hear what happened there. Are the platforms there? Are
they damaged? Are the pipelines damaged? The list of questions that need
answering is a long one.
Make no mistake, the long term issue is about supply.
There are many reasons for this but the main one is that, even assuming
all the infrastructure gets repaired and once all the undamaged refineries
get started up again—a process which may take as long as two weeks
for each refinery—every drop of production that has been lost so far
is going to have to be made up. With Bush opening the Strategic Petroleum
Reserve conveniently for a second time yesterday, all that oil is going
to have to be replaced on top of normal (growing) demand.
All the while, now-documented decline is taking about a million
barrels per day out of the global pipeline. So where is all the "make-up"
oil going to come from?
The answer may come in the form of more criminal warfare, the modus
operandi of the Bush administration.
Venezuela has the world's
largest reserves, and is the key supplier to the US. Given the Gulf Coast
hurricane devastation that threatens a US economy already on the brink, and
given the US failure to secure supplies from its illegal wars (Afghanistan,
Iraq), the Venezuelan supplies become all the more crucial—as does (in
the eyes of the Bush administration, Wall Street, etc.) the toppling of the
Hugo Chavez government. Following the Bush administration's previous botched
coup, a more careful inside-out destabilization
of Venezuela has been in process, in earnest, for well over one year. There
is also Colombia,
and its oil, nearby.
The poisonous and venal Condoleeza Rice paid
a visit to Haiti, to set up another fake election, which will result in
the creation of a US puppet government in Port-au-Prince. Haiti, which already
fell in a US coup,
its streets crawling with death
squads, and the scene of massively covered-up atrocities and UN
massacres, is essential geography for any US invasion or attack on the South
American continent.
Ron Gold, vice president of the Petroleum Industry Research Foundation, half-joked,
'This would be a good time to have a warm winter." Kenneth
Deffeyes predicts that the world oil peak will be Thanksgiving 2005, give
or take a few weeks.
Those who scoff
at Peak Oil, and argue that Peak is not real, are missing the only important
point. The criminal acts of this Empire—from 9/11 to the sequential oil
war under the "war on terrorism" rubric, to the USA PATRIOT Act and
militarization of New Orleans and the Gulf Coast (a rehearsal for the military
control of the United States under post-Peak conditions), and unfolding economic
crises—are continuing, as if Peak is real. The entire argument has been
rendered academic by actual events. It is time to stop wasting time.
If even a single aspect of the worst case scenarios comes about, the
people of America, and the world, are in for plenty of hurt. The real bullets
are coming.