Untitled Document
There is so much propaganda, faith-based economic theorizing and simple ignorance
and naiveté surrounding the question of soaring gasoline and oil prices
in this country!
For heaven's sake, of course there is collusion, monopolistic behavior
and price fixing in the oil industry. It's the way this particular industry
operates.
Start with the OPEC, that gang of producers, largely in the thrall of the major
oil companies, which sets production quotas for most of the major oil producing
nations.
Then move to the large companies. There used to be seven. Now there are far
fewer mega companies, thanks to mergers like Exxon/Mobil and BP/Amoco.
Even when they were seven those companies aren't really functioning as independent,
competitive enterprises, and it's only gotten worth with increasing concentration.
Because refineries, offshore drilling platforms and pipelines are gigantic multi-billion-dollar
capital projects--a typical refinery can cost upwards of $5 billion to construct--most
are joint projects involving several oil companies, while others lease the use
of them. In such a situation, all those elements of a business which are normally
closely-held trade secrets important to maintaining competitive advantage--inventories,
crude reserves, pricing, production rates, relative mix of heating oil, low
and high-octane gasoline, etc.--are common knowledge.
It's not like a typical business--say automobiles or television sets--where
companies keep those kinds of numbers secret or, if they collude, have to do
it by meeting in secret and agreeing on higher prices. The executives of the
oil industry never have to get together, whether over a game of golf or in a
back office. They know all about each other's operations without ever talking.
Collusion, not competition, is a way of life in this industry.
There is simply no way to use a competitive model to explain what happened
to gasoline prices after the Katrina storm hit New Orleans. At best, 10 percent
of production was shut down, according to reports. That's 10 percent of 1/4
of U.S. demand--a tiny amount. Even if it were 10 percent of total demand because
of reduced import capability at the Louisiana port, we're talking about 10 percent,
while gas prices rose 25-35 percent and even more in some areas. Not often mentioned
in the same articles on this phenomenon was the fact that the world price of
oil actually fell by almost 10 percent over the same period.
When the world oil price rises, I notice, as I'm sure most readers also notice,
that the price at the pump is up the next day--sometimes the same day that a
report comes out. Yet oil from places like Saudi Arabia and Kuwait takes months
to go from the wellhead to retail gas stations in the U.S. Even oil from Venezuela
takes weeks to become gas at the station in the U.S. What other product do you
know of where the retail price in stores jumps immediately when the price of
raw materials that goes into it goes up? Does bread go up at the store the day
that wheat prices kick up on the Chicago Merc? Does candy in the store go up
when the price of sugar rises on the Comex? Of course not! Just gasoline and
home heating oil. So if more expensive crude oil doesn't actually physically
get to the pump for months, and the price at the pump goes up immediately, who's
pocketing that money in the meantime? Hint: It's not your local gas station
owner. Just check out the stock prices of the oil companies, and you'll have
the correct answer.
In a competitive model, the kind Milton Friedman likes to celebrate, companies
like Sunoco and Exxon would keep their retail prices as low as possible until
costs forced them to raise prices--something that simply doesn't happen. Indeed,
it's a one-way arrangement: When the per barrel price of crude falls, the price
at the pump hangs at its high level, sometimes for weeks, but if crude goes
up, so does the pump price. Consumers can't shop for bargains, because all gas
stations behave the same way. For the most part, though, it's not the stations
that are doing this gouging--many of them aren't even independent businesses,
but are owned by the major companies--but rather the oil companies themselves.
The money that results from this collusive, monopolistic behavior, in other
words, is accruing to the oil companies and their stockholders.
The beauty of this arrangement, from the oil industry's perspective, is that
nobody can be fined or jailed for it. Under U.S. anti-trust law, it's not illegal
to have collusive results. The government would have to prove collusive intent,
and as long as the oil executives don't actually sit in a room or a teleconference,
and expressly conspire to collude on raising prices or cutting production, that
simply cannot be done.
If Congress and the White House were serious about combating price rigging,coordinated
production slowdowns and artificial scarcities, they would be changing the anti-trust
laws so that the objective existence of anti-competitive pricing and production
alone would be illegal, not just deliberate conspiring to fix prices. A simple
step would be just to make all the competitive information regarding production
and pricing of oil and oil products, all the way from wellhead to pump, public.
After all, if the oil companies all know everything about each other's internal
pricing and production, there's no justification for keeping that information
from the public. Instead we have the opposite situation of course: secret meetings
by our oil-industry-subsidized vice president and executives of the oil industry,
where real collusive decisions were made.
Oil and energy are too crucial to the economy and to people's daily lives to
allow them to remain the private domain of oil company executives and the oilmen--Bush
and Cheney to name two--who run this blood-and-oil administration.