Untitled Document
On July 14 in the western city of Maracaibo, Venezuelan government
tax auditors and a prosecutor went to the offices of Chevron Corp., the second-largest
U.S. oil company.
They seized boxes of records to build a case that San Ramon, California-based
Chevron and 21 other energy companies owe Venezuela $3 billion in back taxes.
The raid is part of President Hugo Chavez's push to squeeze more money out of
foreign companies that want to pump oil from the world's fifth- largest petroleum
exporter.
Since October 2004, he has raised heavy-oil royalty fees to as high as 30 percent
from 1 percent, begun paying for some services in nonconvertible bolivares instead
of U.S. dollars, and ordered oil well contracts converted into government- controlled
joint ventures.
Chavez, 51, wants to use the revenue to pay for homes, clinics and schools
for the 58 percent of Venezuelan families who live on less than $200 a month.
Since taking office in February 1999, Chavez has embarked on a socialist revolution:
seizing ranches to hand over to the poor and starting a TV news network with
promotional ads featuring a swastika painted on a U.S. flag.
Chavez says he's using oil money to bankroll a quest to become Latin America's
leader against U.S.-style capitalism, and in a May 4 speech, he said ``Being
rich is bad'' and ``Jesus Christ was a socialist.''
Friend of Castro
Chavez, a close friend of Fidel Castro, sends crude to Cuba in exchange for
doctors to staff 3,000 neighborhood clinics. In June, he pledged subsidized
oil for poor Caribbean nations such as Grenada.
Chevron and its competitors haven't been scared off by the new rules or Chavez's
fiery rhetoric because the country has the largest reserves in the Western Hemisphere.
The oil companies want to invest $30 billion in Venezuela, which is the fourth-largest
supplier of crude to the U.S., according to the Venezuelan Hydrocarbons Association.
Venezuela is also attractive because Chavez is more open to foreign investment
than other countries with untapped oil supplies such as Mexico and Saudi Arabia.
`Clear Rules'
In an interview, Chavez said that unlike Middle Eastern countries with oil
reserves, Venezuela is a Democracy. ``In Iraq, they have even cut off people's
heads, just horrible things, and the companies are still there looking for oil,''
he says.
``In Venezuela, nothing like that has happened,'' he says. ``In Venezuela,
you have clear rules, laws, a constitution and sovereignty.''
Chavez says all companies are welcome in his country. ``Foreign companies have
been here for the last century exploiting oil and gas, and they'll have all
the space they've been able to have so far,'' he says. ``It's just that they
will have to pay the royalties, they will have to pay the income tax. If they
don't, we will go after them.''
True to Chavez's word, Venezuela's tax agency stated on Aug. 11 that it's seeking
to attach more than 280 billion bolivares ($131 million) in assets from The
Hague-based Royal Dutch Shell Plc in a dispute over what the country says is
unpaid back taxes. Shell Spokeswoman Bettina Steinhold declined to comment.
The Prize
The prize in Venezuela is the tropical flatlands north of the Orinoco River,
beneath which, according to Chavez, lie 230 billion barrels of heavy crude,
one of the largest oil deposits in the world.
Chevron and Repsol YPF SA, Spain's biggest oil company, plan to seek approval
for a $6 billion expansion in the Orinoco Belt, as the area is known. Shell,
Europe's second- biggest oil company, proposes a $5 billion expansion there.
``The oil industry is a long-term industry, and you can't have an attitude
of `in and out,''' says Ali Moshiri, 52, Chevron's Latin America exploration
and development chief. ``We have to go where the oil is.''
Chavez, who has used his clout as leader of the third- largest member of the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to curb Venezuela's output by
20 percent since taking office, now says he wants to boost production.
Joint Venture
Most of the decline came from the state-owned producer, Petroleos de Venezuela
SA, where Chavez fired half the workforce to break a 2002-2003 strike aimed
at his ouster. Daily output at PDVSA has tumbled to about 2 million barrels
from 2.92 million barrels in 1998.
Chevron's oil production is part of a joint venture with PDVSA.
Foreign oil companies took up the slack, doubling their production to about
1.12 million barrels a day as of last year. Now, Chavez says he wants to attract
$10 billion more from foreign oil companies to help boost Venezuela's total
oil production to 5 million barrels a day by 2009.
``This government is your ally,'' Chavez told foreign oil executives in March.
``We are not chasing anyone away from Venezuela.''
At the same time, Chavez claimed that the Bush administration was trying to
force him to commit suicide and threatened to cut off exports to the U.S. if
he were to meet an untimely death.
`Mr. Danger'
Chavez, who refers to President George W. Bush as ``Mr. Danger,'' said in a
June 5 speech that the U.S. is trying to install a global dictatorship. Secretary
of State Condoleezza Rice, in January, described Chavez as a ``negative force''
in the region.
On Monday, television evangelist Pat Robertson told viewers of ``The 700 Club''
program that the U.S. should assassinate Chavez to stop him from becoming a
``launching pad for communists.''
Venezuelan Vice President Jose Vicente Rangel responded by saying Robertson's
remarks were ``criminal.'' U.S. State Department spokesman Sean McCormack said
at a press briefing that Robertson's views ``do not represent the policy of
the United States.''
Chavez, a former army lieutenant colonel who was jailed for trying to overthrow
the government in 1992, risks pushing too hard on the foreign oil companies,
says Jason Todd, a Chicago-based analyst at credit ratings company Fitch Ratings.
Look to Russia
``We have seen a lot of unilateral changes made by the government, and those
things raise concerns,'' Todd says of Chavez's oil policy. ``That can lead to
lack of investment.''
All Chavez has to do is look to Russia, the world's second-largest oil exporter,
to see the risks of demanding too much from foreign investors, Todd says.
Production in Russia in 2005 is expected to rise at the slowest pace in six
years, after President Vladimir Putin raised taxes on oil sales as high as 90
percent.
Though Chavez says he wants more foreign oil money, his policies have harmed
some of the companies that could supply it. In October 2004, the government
raised royalties on four heavy-oil production projects along the Orinoco Belt
to 16.67 percent from 1 percent and slapped a 30 percent royalty on excess output.
Six months later, the government raised taxes on companies that run 32 oil
fields for PDVSA to 50 percent from 34 percent. Minister of Energy and Oil Rafael
Ramirez, 42, gave those 22 companies until year-end to convert the oilfield
contracts into joint ventures that are 51 percent owned by PDVSA.
`Sanctity of Contracts'
Exxon Mobil Corp., the world's largest publicly traded oil company, faces higher
royalties on its Cerro Negro heavy- oil field in the Orinoco Belt, which produces
120,000 barrels of crude per day.
Henry Hubble, vice president of investor relations at Irving, Texas-based Exxon
Mobil, said on a July 28 investor conference call that the company is negotiating
with Venezuelan officials to keep the royalty terms of its written agreements.
``We insist on the sanctity of contracts,'' he says.
Chavez's government hasn't approved any major expansion by foreign oil companies:
Some 80 percent of the $26 billion of private oil investment in Venezuela was
made before Chavez took office.
Houston-based ConocoPhillips, the largest U.S. oil refiner, needs to replace
dwindling reserves, lock in future profit and assure supplies.
Won't Keep Pace
Unless new reserves are tapped in countries like Venezuela in the next 15 years,
global oil output won't keep pace with demand, according to a report by New
York-based securities firm Sanford C. Bernstein & Co.
The report forecasts that demand for oil will grow 1.8 percent a year through
2020 to 102.7 million barrels a day. Global oil production capacity will be
102.1 million barrels a day, the July 15 report says.
Concern about future supply has helped push crude oil prices up more than fivefold
to a record $67.10 a barrel on Aug. 12 from $12.28 on Feb. 2, 1999, when Chavez
was sworn in as president.
Chavez's Venezuela is one of the few major oil producers that allow foreign
investment; Saudi Arabia allows only its state oil company to pump crude.
And Venezuela has been more open than other countries in Latin America such
as Mexico, which bars foreign companies from exploiting the second-biggest oil
reserves in Latin America.
Further Expansion
Chavez says he wants to expand even further by converting 32 agreements to
run wells into ventures, which would be 49 percent owned by private oil companies.
``That's the uniqueness of Venezuela,'' Chevron's Moshiri says. ``It opened
up, and we hope it will continue to do that.''
Oil companies such as Shell have acquiesced to Chavez's demands. In December,
Shell started renegotiating its oilfield agreement near the murky waters of
Lake Maracaibo, where 10,000 wells tap into 40 percent of Venezuela's proven
crude oil reserves.
On July 14, the government ordered Shell, whose 90 years of working in Venezuela
includes having its wells nationalized in 1975, to pay $131 million of back
taxes. Shell says it has paid all of its taxes.
Sean Rooney, Shell's president in Venezuela, says the country is still a good
place for the company. ``I can't imagine a scenario where we would ever leave,
where it would ever be so discouraging,'' says Rooney, 45.
Pacific Pipeline
``The resource is too significant, and the potential is too great,'' he says.
Norway's state-run Statoil ASA, Paris-based Total SA and Chevron have been
the hardest hit by Chavez's new rules because they manage wells for PDVSA and
are shareholders in the four heavy-crude production ventures in the Orinoco
belt.
Statoil, Total and ConocoPhillips may have to pay $320 million of back taxes
for their heavy-oil ventures in the Orinoco belt, according to Oil Minister
Ramirez.
Chavez is also considering a reduction in Venezuela's dependence on oil sales
to the U.S., which accounts for about 60 percent of the nation's crude exports.
Chavez signed agreements to boost oil sales to Argentina, Brazil, China, India,
Paraguay and Uruguay.
He also proposed building a pipeline to Pacific Ocean ports in Colombia to
ship more crude to China. The U.S. imports 15 percent of its crude oil from
Venezuela, which is just a four- to five-day tanker trip from Texas refineries.
Ease U.S. Sales
Chavez has also said he'd like to ease sales to the U.S. market by selling
some assets of Citgo Petroleum Corp., the Houston-based refinery and gas station
chain that PDVSA owns. Citgo has four oil refineries, two asphalt plants and
13,500 gas stations in the U.S.
Chavez's tough stance is part of Venezuela's tradition of trying to ensure
it receives a fair price for crude. When U.S. President Dwight Eisenhower created
import quotas for crude oil in 1959, then Oil Minister Perez Alfonso flew to
Washington to lobby against the quotas.
Eisenhower and other administration officials refused to see him. Alfonso then
flew to Cairo for the Arab Oil Congress, where he met with officials from Iran,
Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia. Those talks led to the founding of OPEC in 1960.
In 1975, Venezuelan President Carlos Andres Perez nationalized the oil industry,
paying companies such as Shell for oil wells, refineries, terminals and gas
stations. PDVSA, formed as the state oil monopoly after nationalization, began
welcoming back private oil companies in 1992.
OPEC Quotas
Now, PDVSA pays private companies that run 32 of its oil fields a fee for each
barrel they pump above the levels of production from when the agreements began.
Chavez targeted PDVSA soon after taking office, accusing the company of recklessly
boosting production so much it depressed oil prices. Chavez persuaded OPEC to
adjust production to keep crude prices within a range of $22 to $28 a barrel
at the time.
In January 1998, Venezuela was pumping about 3.4 million barrels a day, or
800,000 barrels more than its OPEC quota. By October 2000, seven months after
OPEC adopted the price range, Venezuela was producing within its quota.
In July, Venezuela pumped about 2.7 million barrels of crude a day, 523,000
barrels fewer than its OPEC quota, according to a Bloomberg survey of producers,
oil companies and analysts.
18 Cents a Gallon
Oil is a pervasive part of life in Venezuela, where gas stations don't even
post the price because it is fixed at 18 cents per gallon. Revenue from crude
exports funds half the government's budget, and oil prices have driven Venezuela's
economy since the 1920s.
In the 1970s, as prices soared during the Arab oil embargo, the government
overhauled Caracas with new elevated highways and public housing blocks. State
airline Viasa chartered 747 jetliners to carry luggage back as Venezuelans increased
their shopping trips to Miami.
Last year, as crude prices soared again, Venezuela's economy grew a record
17 percent, increasing consumer spending so that there were three-month waiting
lists for new cars.
Chavez, born to schoolteacher parents in rural Berinas state, found his political
calling after going to the country's Military Academy when he was 17 and seeking
a career in baseball. Chavez rose through the ranks and in 1992 helped lead
15,000 soldiers in an attempted coup.
Two Years in Jail
Chavez was jailed for two years, and won a national following among Venezuelans
fed up with government corruption with a televised speech justifying the coup
attempt.
In 1998, Chavez won a landslide election victory by pledging a revolution that
would use oil revenue to spread equality. Since taking office, Chavez has taken
advantage of surging oil prices by boosting spending on programs for the poor
to a projected $13 billion this year -- or almost half the national budget.
The programs have helped him survive an attempted coup and recall referendum.
PDVSA dispenses $4 billion a year for everything from cooperatives that make
the red T-shirts Chavez supporters wear to monthly stipends for 700,000 people
enrolled in adult education courses.
On some days, PDVSA's 13-floor concrete headquarters in Caracas draws scores
of people seeking funds for social programs, known as missions.
Free Health Care
``For a long time, our oil went to the rich, but as you can see, here that's
changed,'' says Wuikelman Angel, 35, who manages workshops, a youth center and
a clinic that PDVSA built last year on a 3-hectare (7.4-acre) shuttered gasoline
depot in Caracas's Catia slum.
The $7 million complex, flanked by a verdant hill covered with tin-roofed shacks
and piles of garbage, is a showcase for Chavez's socialist revolution, Angel
says. On one morning in late June, about 50 people wait for free treatment at
a two- story clinic with a new X-ray machine and a pediatric ward.
In a warehouse across a rosebush-lined square, a dozen people are making final
adjustments to machinery at a shoemaking cooperative, one of thousands of government-
financed companies that are part of Chavez's plan to give jobs to the poor.
Profit is set to be divided equally among workers, and the members elect their
supervisors, mimicking a model tried by the Sandinista regime in Nicaragua in
the 1980s.
Shoemaking Cooperative
It's all financed by PDVSA, starting with the cooperative's first order for
250 pairs of black leather shoes, which were donated to victims of a mudslide.
Across the road is a government supermarket that sells food at a 33 percent
discount.
It's one of 12,000 built with PDVSA funds since Chavez took power.
Ana Quintero, one of 150 members of the shoemaking cooperative, starts to cry
when she says Chavez has her vote. ``All of this -- the clinic, market and this
business -- is because of President Chavez,'' says Quintero, 50, a single mother
of two children, wiping the tears from her dark eyes.
She says she used to sell soft drinks on the streets of Catia until joining
the cooperative and says none of it would have happened without Chavez. ``I
would vote for him to be president for life.''
Approval Rating Down
In addition to the PDVSA money, Chavez is also using $6 billion of the country's
$28.9 billion of central bank reserves for government spending. Chavez is stepping
up social spending to build support for a re-election bid in December 2006.
His approval rating was 61 percent in the second quarter -- that's down 8 percentage
points from the start of the year, according to Caracas-based polling company
Alfredo Keller y Asociados.
Chavez has relied on oil money to overcome political hurdles in the past. In
the days before last year's referendum, which was called by the opposition,
Chavez also won endorsements from U.S. oil companies.
On Aug. 6, Chevron's Moshiri appeared in a televised broadcast with Chavez
to announce the $6 billion expansion in the Orinoco Belt. Then, three days before
the vote, Exxon Mobil signed a preliminary agreement for a $3 billion plastics
plant there.
Raising Royalties
Two months later, Chavez began to seek ways to get more revenue from oil companies,
raising the royalties on the Orinoco heavy-oil projects.
The Chavez government also stepped up scrutiny of expansion plans. In January,
Oil Minister Ramirez -- who's also chairman of PDVSA -- rejected a plan by ConocoPhillips
to start production at its Corocoro oil field off the country's coast.
Ramirez said ConocoPhillips tried to defer almost half of $480 million of pledged
investments in the project. A month later, ConocoPhillips CEO James Mulva flew
to Caracas and met with Chavez.
He left the presidential palace promising to submit a new plan that would address
the government's concerns. Mulva says the company plans to move ahead with its
investments, but there are uncertainties ahead.
`Different Kind of Risk'
``It's a different kind of risk than we face in other parts of the world,''
Mulva said on a July 27 conference call with investors and analysts.
In March, Venezuela's internal revenue service began auditing 22 private oil
companies in an investigation that led to the raid on Chevron's offices in Maracaibo.
Moshiri says the company is cooperating and has turned over everything the
auditors requested. ``This is a normal process,'' he says. ``It's like a normal
tax audit by the IRS.'' Moshiri says the government hasn't said whether it wants
to charge Chevron any back taxes.
Chevron and Repsol still plan to expand in the Orinoco area, a project that
would include drilling as many as 2,000 wells that use steam to force tarlike
crude oil out of the ground.
The Orinoco Belt, with as many as 300 billion barrels of oil, may be a critical
area for Chevron to add reserves, Moshiri says.
The companies plan to submit their proposal to the Oil Ministry in the first
quarter of 2006 and start negotiations quickly. Within five years, the project
could be producing 400,000 barrels a day, Moshiri says.
Tropical Heat
A focus of the talks would be complying with a hydrocarbon law passed in 2001
that requires PDVSA to have a controlling, 51 percent stake in the project.
It would be difficult for PDVSA to run a major new project after Chavez fired
18,000 experienced engineers and managers during the strike, says Roger Tissot,
an analyst at Washington-based PFC Energy, which advises oil companies.
On the dark, brackish waters of Lake Maracaibo, a lake connected to the Caribbean
by the Gulf of Venezuela, where derricks stretch to the horizon, PDVSA estimates
it will take six years and billions of dollars to recoup production lost to
broken-down wells and pipelines.
Three miles below the lake bottom are reserves that account for one-third of
the crude oil Venezuela produces every day.
On one day in late June, dozens of wells were idle, rusting away and stuck
in mid-operation on one part of the lake near the city of Maracaibo. Leaky pipelines
produced oil slicks that threw off a kaleidoscope of colors in the 40- degree-Celsius
(104-degree-Fahrenheit) tropical heat.
`Silver Bullet'
A 16-kilometer-long drift of lime-green duckweed algae encircles some wells,
thriving in the polluted waters. Former PDVSA board member Jose Toro Hardy,
who's now an independent oil analyst, says the delays in recovering production
are indicative of disorder in the state company since the strike.
``The delays make it very difficult for them to increase output,'' Hardy says.
Moshiri says he's confident Chevron and Repsol can negotiate an agreement that
will allow them to use their expertise to run the wells, pipelines and refineries
planned for the Orinoco. ``Our objective is in line with what their objective
is,'' Moshiri says.
``If Venezuela is looking for large increases in production, the silver bullet
is the Orinoco,'' he says.
`Doors Are Open'
Luis Vierma, PDVSA's vice president for exploration and production, says Venezuela
won't lose the opportunity to expand now. ``Our doors are open, and we have
to go down this road together,'' he says.
Peter Hill, 57, president of Houston-based oil company Harvest Natural Resources
Inc., would like to believe that, even after the disappointments his company
faced this year. He's asked for an audience at the presidential palace in Caracas
to take his case directly to Chavez.
``It is a matter of good faith,'' he says. ``And there is less and less good
faith now.''
Chavez is betting that Chevron, ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil will keep their
faith, and money, in Venezuela.