How could the exit polls in this year's presidential election have diverged so
drastically from the results that election officials and the media announced?
Professor Steven Freeman, a statistician at the University of Pennsylvania, offers
a disturbing answer. Looking at the exit polls and announced results in Ohio,
Florida, and Pennsylvania, he concludes that the odds against such an accidental
discrepancy in all three states together was 250 million to one.
"As much as we can say in social science that something is impossible,
it is impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote counts
in the three critical battleground states of the 2004 election could have been
due to chance or random error."
Read Dr. Freeman's well-reasoned, well-written argument, and make up your own
mind. -- sw
The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy
By Steven F. Freeman
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