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WASHINGTON Feb 28, 2005 — Personal incomes which had been bolstered by a
large stock dividend payment in December plunged 2.3 percent in January, the sharpest
decline in more than a decade. Consumer spending was flat, the government reported
Monday.
The Commerce Department said the sharp January drop in incomes followed a record
3.7 percent jump in incomes in December with both months heavily influenced
by a $3 per share dividend payment that computer software giant Microsoft made
on Dec. 2.
Meanwhile, the number of new single-family homes sold in January fell 9.2 percent,
the agency said in a second report.
The worse-than-expected performance pushed new home sales down to 1.11 million
units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate in January compared to a revised
December rate of 1.22 million units. Last week, the National Association of
Realtors reported that sales of existing homes and condominiums had fallen as
well in January, dipping a slight 0.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual
rate of 6.8 million units.
Both sales of new and existing homes set all-time highs in 2004 for the fourth
consecutive year. But economists are forecasting a retreat from those highs
this year as mortgage rates are expected to start rising.
Without the huge $32 billion dividend payment by Microsoft, personal incomes
would have shown steadier gains of 0.6 percent in December and 0.5 percent in
January.
Personal spending was unchanged in January after having risen by 0.8 percent
in December. This reflected the fact that demand for autos sagged last month
as dealers removed attractive incentive offers they had used to spur end-of-the-year
sales.
Consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of total economic activity,
is expected to post solid gains again this year, bolstered by continued improvements
in employment, but not quite up to the pace in 2004. Last year, consumer spending
rose by 3.8 percent, helping to push overall economic growth up by 4.4 percent
last year.
Economists are looking for both overall economic growth and consumer spending
to slow a bit this year as continued interest rate increases from the Federal
Reserve dampen consumer demand. The Fed hiked interest rates for a sixth time
in early February and a seventh quarter-point increase is expected when Fed
policy-makers next meet on March 22.
The report on new home sales showed weakness in every part of the country except
the West, where sales rose by 5.6 percent to an annual rate of 338,000 units.
The biggest decline was a record 40.3 percent plunge in the Midwest where sales
dropped to an annual rate of 145,000 units. Sales fell 17.1 percent in the Northeast
to an annual rate of 63,000 units and were down 3.3 percent in the South to
a rate of 560,000 units.
The drop in new home sales was accompanied by a fall in prices. The median
new home price the point where half the homes sold for more and half for less
was $199,400 in January, down 13.2 percent from a median sales price of $229,700
in December. It was the lowest new home price since a median of $196,000 in
December 2003.
For January, consumer spending was held back by a big drop in demand for durable
goods such as cars. It was the weakest showing since a 0.3 percent decline in
June of last year.
After taking account of inflation, consumer spending actually fell by 0.2 percent
in January.
Disposable, or after-tax incomes, fell by 2.6 percent last month after having
shot up by 4.1 percent in December, changes that were also influenced by the
Microsoft stock dividend payment.
The drop in disposable incomes pushed the savings rate down to 1 percent in
January. Savings had jumped to 3.6 percent of disposable income in December,
bolstered by the dividend payment, after having been at 0.5 percent for three
straight months before that.
Copyright 2005 The Associated Press.