ECONOMICS - LOOKING GLASS NEWS | |
Richest Are Leaving Even the Rich Far Behind |
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by DAVID CAY JOHNSTON The New York Times Entered into the database on Sunday, June 05th, 2005 @ 19:13:52 MST |
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When F. Scott Fitzgerald pronounced that the very rich "are different from
you and me," Ernest Hemingway's famously dismissive response was: "Yes,
they have more money." Today he might well add: much, much, much more money. The people at the top of America's money pyramid have so prospered in recent
years that they have pulled far ahead of the rest of the population, an analysis
of tax records and other government data by The New York Times shows. They have
even left behind people making hundreds of thousands of dollars a year. Call them the hyper-rich. They are not just a few Croesus-like rarities. Draw a line under the top 0.1
percent of income earners - the top one-thousandth. Above that line are about
145,000 taxpayers, each with at least $1.6 million in income and often much
more. The average income for the top 0.1 percent was $3 million in 2002, the latest
year for which averages are available. That number is two and a half times the
$1.2 million, adjusted for inflation, that group reported in 1980. No other
income group rose nearly as fast. The share of the nation's income earned by those in this uppermost category
has more than doubled since 1980, to 7.4 percent in 2002. The share of income
earned by the rest of the top 10 percent rose far less, and the share earned
by the bottom 90 percent fell. Next, examine the net worth of American households. The group with homes, investments
and other assets worth more than $10 million comprised 338,400 households in
2001, the last year for which data are available. The number has grown more
than 400 percent since 1980, after adjusting for inflation, while the total
number of households has grown only 27 percent. The Bush administration tax cuts stand to widen the gap between the hyper-rich
and the rest of America. The merely rich, making hundreds of thousands of dollars
a year, will shoulder a disproportionate share of the tax burden. President Bush said during the third election debate last October that most
of the tax cuts went to low- and middle-income Americans. In fact, most - 53
percent - will go to people with incomes in the top 10 percent over the first
15 years of the cuts, which began in 2001 and would have to be reauthorized
in 2010. And more than 15 percent will go just to the top 0.1 percent, those
145,000 taxpayers. The Times set out to create a financial portrait of the very richest Americans,
how their incomes have changed over the decades and how the tax cuts will affect
them. It is no secret that the gap between the rich and the poor has grown,
but the extent to which the richest are leaving everyone else behind is not
widely known. The Treasury Department uses a computer model to examine the effects of tax
cuts on various income groups but does not look in detail fine enough to differentiate
among those within the top 1 percent. To determine those differences, The Times
relied on a computer model based on the Treasury's. Experts at organizations
representing a range of views, including the Heritage Foundation, the Cato Institute
and Citizens for Tax Justice, reviewed the projections and said they were reasonable,
and the Treasury Department said through a spokesman that the model was reliable.
The analysis also found the following: ¶Under the Bush tax cuts, the 400 taxpayers with the highest incomes -
a minimum of $87 million in 2000, the last year for which the government will
release such data - now pay income, Medicare and Social Security taxes amounting
to virtually the same percentage of their incomes as people making $50,000 to
$75,000. ¶Those earning more than $10 million a year now pay a lesser share of
their income in these taxes than those making $100,000 to $200,000. ¶The alternative minimum tax, created 36 years ago to make sure the very
richest paid taxes, takes back a growing share of the tax cuts over time from
the majority of families earning $75,000 to $1 million - thousands and even
tens of thousands of dollars annually. Far fewer of the very wealthiest will
be affected by this tax. The analysis examined only income reported on tax returns. The Treasury Department
says that the very wealthiest find ways, legal and illegal, to shelter a lot
of income from taxes. So the gap between the very richest and everyone else
is almost certainly much larger. The hyper-rich have emerged in the last three decades as the biggest winners
in a remarkable transformation of the American economy characterized by, among
other things, the creation of a more global marketplace, new technology and
investment spurred partly by tax cuts. The stock market soared; so did pay in
the highest ranks of business. One way to understand the growing gap is to compare earnings increases over
time by the vast majority of taxpayers - say, everyone in the lower 90 percent
- with those at the top, say, in the uppermost 0.01 percent (now about 14,000
households, each with $5.5 million or more in income last year). From 1950 to 1970, for example, for every additional dollar earned by the bottom
90 percent, those in the top 0.01 percent earned an additional $162, according
to the Times analysis. From 1990 to 2002, for every extra dollar earned by those
in the bottom 90 percent, each taxpayer at the top brought in an extra $18,000. President Ronald Reagan signed tax bills that benefited the wealthiest Americans
and also gave tax breaks to the working poor. President Bill Clinton raised
income taxes for the wealthiest, cut taxes on investment gains, and expanded
breaks for the working poor. Mr. Bush eliminated income taxes for families making
under $40,000, but his tax cuts have also benefited the wealthiest Americans
far more than his predecessors' did. The Bush administration says that the tax cuts have actually made the income
tax system more progressive, shifting the burden slightly more to those with
higher incomes. Still, an Internal Revenue Service study found that the only
taxpayers whose share of taxes declined in 2001 and 2002 were those in the top
0.1 percent. But a Treasury spokesman, Taylor Griffin, said the income tax system is more
progressive if the measurement is the share borne by the top 40 percent of Americans
rather than the top 0.1 percent. The Times analysis also shows that over the next decade, the tax cuts Mr. Bush
wants to extend indefinitely would shift the burden further from the richest
Americans. With incomes of more than $1 million or so, they would get the biggest
share of the breaks, in total amounts and in the drop in their share of federal
taxes paid. One reason the merely rich will fare much less well than the very richest is
the alternative minimum tax. This tax, the successor to one enacted in 1969
to make sure the wealthiest Americans could not use legal loopholes to live
tax-free, has never been adjusted for inflation. As a result, it stings Americans
whose incomes have crept above $75,000. The Times analysis shows that by 2010 the tax will affect more than four-fifths
of the people making $100,000 to $500,000 and will take away from them nearly
one-half to more than two-thirds of the recent tax cuts. For example, the group
making $200,000 to $500,000 a year will lose 70 percent of their tax cut to
the alternative minimum tax in 2010, an average of $9,177 for those affected.
But because of the way it is devised, the tax affects far fewer of the very
richest: about a third of the taxpayers reporting more than $1 million in income.
One big reason is that dividends and investment gains, which go mostly to the
richest, are not subject to the tax. Another reason that the wealthiest will fare much better is that the tax cuts
over the past decade have sharply lowered rates on income from investments.
While most economists recognize that the richest are pulling away, they disagree
on what this means. Those who contend that the extraordinary accumulation of
wealth is a good thing say that while the rich are indeed getting richer, so
are most people who work hard and save. They say that the tax cuts encourage
the investment and the innovation that will make everyone better off. "In this income data I see a snapshot of a very innovative society,"
said Tim Kane, an economist at the Heritage Foundation. "Lower taxes and
lower marginal tax rates are leading to more growth. There's an explosion of
wealth. We are so wealthy in a world that is profoundly poor." But some of the wealthiest Americans, including Warren E. Buffett, George Soros
and Ted Turner, have warned that such a concentration of wealth can turn a meritocracy
into an aristocracy and ultimately stifle economic growth by putting too much
of the nation's capital in the hands of inheritors rather than strivers and
innovators. Speaking of the increasing concentration of incomes, Alan Greenspan,
the Federal Reserve chairman, warned in Congressional testimony a year ago:
"For the democratic society, that is not a very desirable thing to allow
it to happen." Others say most Americans have no problem with this trend. The central question
is mobility, said Bruce R. Bartlett, an advocate of lower taxes who served in
the Reagan and George H. W. Bush administrations. "As long as people think
they have a chance of getting to the top, they just don't care how rich the
rich are." But in fact, economic mobility - moving from one income group to another over
a lifetime - has actually stopped rising in the United States, researchers say.
Some recent studies suggest it has even declined over the last generation. |